India faces a critical test as global markets respond to disruption expectations rather than actual shocks. Countries like China have built resilience through anticipatory planning during calm periods, diversifying energy sources, developing alternative corridors, and maintaining strategic reserves. India's crude oil imports were significantly impacted during the West Asia crisis, exposing vulnerabilities that could have been mitigated with foresight. The distinction between nations that prepare for crises in advance and those caught off guard is now decisive. Strategic resilience must be embedded into policy before shocks arrive, not after. India must learn that the true measure of statecraft is reducing surprise through disciplined preparation in times of relative stability.
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