US-Israel regime change gamble in Iran risks global economic fallout. Bombardment killing Iran's top leader Ayatollah Khamenei has sparked West Asia tensions with major implications for oil markets and US debt. In a best-case scenario, oil prices spike briefly and stability returns. However, if conflict escalates into prolonged warfare, Ray Dalio's warnings about American imperial overreach and unsustainable debt levels could materialize. The US bond yield curve faces pressure, particularly if the Federal Reserve shrinks its balance sheet under new leadership. Capital costs risk becoming volatile if military expenditures exceed expectations. Global uncertainty has already increased substantially from this geopolitical gamble, with potential ripple effects across energy markets and international financial stability that investors should closely monitor.
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