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U.S.-Iran nuclear deal odds climbing sharply as markets price in de-escalation. Prediction market traders are significantly increasing probabilities of a U.S.-Iran agreement following reports that Washington and Tehran are approaching a memorandum of understanding to resolve conflict and initiate broader negotiations. Kalshi data shows rising deal odds as geopolitical tensions ease. Oil markets are responding to reduced Middle East uncertainty, with crude prices reflecting investor sentiment toward potential conflict resolution. This development carries substantial implications for energy markets, global supply chains, and risk asset valuations. De-escalation scenarios typically support lower energy costs and reduced geopolitical risk premiums across financial markets. Traders are positioning for potential stability improvements in the region.