Hormuz shakes global markets again
The U.S.–Iran conflict remains in a phase of fragile de-escalation: the ceasefire formally holds, but negotiations are taking place indirectly through mediators in Qatar. The sides are trying to agree on further terms regarding sanctions, the nuclear program, and the security of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, the situation remains unstable: isolated incidents in the region and disagreements over navigation rules can quickly bring the military risk premium back into the market. Transit through the strait is gradually recovering, but its operation is still uneven and depends on the further course of negotiations.
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